Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Damson Park (Solihull)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Solihull Moors		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	3.2	3.35	2.12
	3.21	3.28	2.31
	3.20	2.91	2.38	Watch
	3.18	3.25	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.16)	3.2 ↓ (3.38)	2.24 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Solihull Moors
29.3%

Draw
29.1%

Brackley Town
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Solihull Moors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Solihull Moors's form might have worsened.

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brackley Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Solihull Moors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brackley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Solihull Moors - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walker L. (G) 2. Clarke J. 9. Creaney D. 26. French T. 3. Green C. 12. Lipsiuc D. 6. Nicholson B. 4. Osborne J. (C) 18. Wakeling J. 5. Whitmore A. 11. Worman B.	1. Maxted J. (G) 8. Brown Z. 3. Calder R. 5. Dean G. 17. Donawa J. 27. Hall C. 19. Lilly Z. 11. Lowe M. 6. Morrison K. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M.
Substitutes
8. Bowen S. 13. Brown R. (G) 14. Jackson L. 7. McFarlane C. 21. Rutherford O. 29. Stevenson B. 16. Tipton O.	18. Armitage W. 21. Gregory C. (G) 37. Haynes R. 15. Hobson B. 9. Okafor M. 7. Pollock S. 14. Waldron D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Whitmore A. 🟨,
42', Morrison K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Hall C. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
59', Donawa J. ↓, Okafor M. ↑,
68', French T. ↓, Rutherford O. ↑,
77', Lipsiuc D. ↓, McFarlane C. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Creaney D. ⚽,
81', Creaney D. 🟨,
83', Brown Z. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
86', Wakeling J. ↓, Tipton O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Solihull won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Brackley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Solihull won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Solihull won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Solihull Moors - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.52%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Solihull Moors
English National League
23.09.25	Rochdale - Solihull Moors	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	York City - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Solihull Moors - Burnley U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Boston United - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 LWWTW
- Brackley Town
English National League
23.09.25	Brackley Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Brackley Town - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Brackley Town - Manchester United U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Aldershot Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.22	Brackley Town - Solihull Moors	1:1
English National League North
30.01.16	Brackley Town - Solihull Moors	0:1
05.01.16	Solihull Moors - Brackley Town	3:0
04.04.15	Brackley Town - Solihull Moors	0:1
17.01.15	Solihull Moors - Brackley Town	1:0
01.02.14	Brackley Town - Solihull Moors	1:0
03.12.13	Solihull Moors - Brackley Town	1:0

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