Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Truro City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.78	3.6	4.15
	1.63	4	5.2
	1.22	5.41	14.57	Watch
	1.77	3.54	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)	3.99 ↑ (3.78)	6.44 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
60.2%

Draw
24.6%

Truro City
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.5%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Truro City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brackley Town - Truro City Predictions

Users Predictions: Brackley Town will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brackley Town will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maxted J. (G) 8. Brown Z. 3. Calder R. 5. Dean G. 17. Donawa J. 27. Hall C. 19. Lilly Z. 11. Lowe M. 6. Morrison K. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M.	24. Stone A. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. 25. Donnellan S. 7. En-Neyah Y. 15. Jephcott L. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 20. Law R. 3. Riley-Lowe C. 8. Rooney D. 6. Sanders S.
Substitutes
18. Armitage W. 21. Gregory C. (G) 15. Hobson B. 2. Lyttle T. 9. Okafor M. 7. Pollock S. 14. Waldron D.	14. Hasani L. 21. Kinsey M. 29. Kite H. 1. Lavercombe D. (G) 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 17. Sanogo S. 23. Starkie B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Hall C. ⚽, Lowe M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Dean W. 🟨,
56', Hall C. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
60', Calder R. 🟨,
71', En-Neyah Y. ↓, Hasani L. ↑,
82', Riley-Lowe C. ↓, Starkie B. ↑,
85', Starkie B. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain C. ↑,
86', Lowe M. 🟨,
88', Lowe M. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
89', Roberts M. ↓, Okafor M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Brackley have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Truro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Brackley is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brackley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.19%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Truro City - the odds 4.55 are the expected chance of winning is 20.32%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
20.09.25	Brackley Town - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Brackley Town - Manchester United U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Aldershot Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
03.09.25	Brackley Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTTL
- Truro City
English National League
20.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Truro City - Fulham U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Truro City - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Carlisle United - Truro City	3:0 ✺
03.09.25	Truro City - Aldershot Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.09.24	Truro City - Brackley Town	0:2

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