Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.8
	1.85	3.55	3.85
	1.89	3.66	4
	2.21	2.56	4.30	Watch
	1.88	3.58	3.89	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)	3.39 ↓ (3.55)	3.93 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
48.8%

Draw
27.5%

Sutton United
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

21.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brackley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sutton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brackley Town - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maxted J. (G) 18. Armitage W. 8. Brown Z. 3. Calder R. 5. Dean G. 17. Donawa J. 15. Hobson B. 19. Lilly Z. 11. Lowe M. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M.	1. Sims J. (G) 24. Boutin N. 11. De Silva D. 23. Harris J. J. 17. Jones A. (C) 34. Njoku B. 5. Phipps H. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 3. Vincent L. 20. Wadham J.
Substitutes
21. Gregory C. (G) 27. Hall C. 2. Lyttle T. . Morrison K. 9. Okafor M. 7. Pollock S. 14. Waldron D.	21. Aziaya D. (G) 26. Eccleston J. 10. Nadesan A. 6. Odelusi S. 18. Ogbonna D. 14. Pruti E. 15. Tizzard W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Jones A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jones A. ↓, Eccleston J. ↑,
46', Boutin N. ↓, Nadesan A. ↑,
56', Lilly Z. 🟨,
65', Donawa J. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
66', Brown Z. 🟨,
76', Hobson B. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
79', Njoku B. ↓, Ogbonna D. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Hall C. ⚽, Dean G. (A),
89', Phipps H. 🟨,
90+1', Lowe M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Brackley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sutton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Sutton has had a series of home games.

In this match, Brackley is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brackley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Including home match between the teams, Brackley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Brackley Town - Manchester United U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Aldershot Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
03.09.25	Brackley Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLT
- Sutton United
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Sutton United - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Sutton United - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Altrincham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Sutton United - Boreham Wood	3:4 ✺
30.08.25	Sutton United - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
03.02.18	Brackley Town - Sutton United	3:1

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