Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Sonnenhof Großaspach		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.85	2.92
	1.79	4.14	3.43	Watch
	2.01	3.8	2.93
	2.2	3.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.79)	3.91 ↓ (4.14)	2.97 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonnenhof Großaspach
45.6%

Draw
23.5%

Mainz II
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

22.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

22%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonnenhof Großaspach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sonnenhof Großaspach's form might have worsened.

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sonnenhof Großaspach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Malli Y. (Pen),
20', 1 - 1, Eisele F. ⚽,
32', Videira J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, Muller T. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Maier L. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Großaspach won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Großaspach is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Großaspach won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Großaspach won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.10.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Bahlinger	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Freiberg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Bayern Alzenau	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Schott Mainz - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:4 ✺
01.10.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Sandhausen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.10.25	Mainz II - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sandhausen - Mainz II	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Mainz II - Balingen	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Bahlinger - Mainz II	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Mainz II - Eintracht Trier	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
18.12.21	Mainz II - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:0
29.08.21	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	1:3
19.12.20	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	0:0
German 3 Bundesliga
15.04.17	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	2:1
05.11.16	Mainz II - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:2
13.02.16	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mainz II	0:3
30.08.15	Mainz II - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1

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