Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Sonsonate		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.7	3.2	1.9
	4.01	3.37	2
	3.8	3.2	1.91
	3.5	3.35	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.27)	3.25 ↑ (3.25)	1.96 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonsonate
25.3%

Draw
28.1%

Alianza San Miguel
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

27.7%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

21.3%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonsonate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonsonate than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Sonsonate have a series of guest games.

Recently Alianza San Miguel have a series of home games.

Alianza San Miguel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Sonsonate won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 20 matches and goals 22-63.

Including matches at home between the teams Sonsonate won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Sonsonate
El Salvador Primera Division
03.01.21	Águila - Sonsonate	1:1 ✺
26.12.20	Sonsonate - Jocoro	1:1 ✺
23.12.20	Atlético Marte - Sonsonate	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Isidro Metapán - Sonsonate	2:3 ✺
13.12.20	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTTWL
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
03.01.21	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
26.12.20	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	1:2 ✺
23.12.20	Jocoro - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Marte	1:0 ✺
13.12.20	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
13.12.20	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	2:1
22.01.20	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	2:2
15.12.19	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	4:1
11.12.19	Sonsonate - Alianza San Miguel	0:0
09.11.19	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	3:1
31.08.19	Sonsonate - Alianza San Miguel	1:4
16.03.19	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	3:0

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