The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlotte Independence 35.2%
Draw 25.9%
Lexington 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
26.5%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
24.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Charlotte Independence - Lexington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. 4. Spielman N. 5. Romero J. 13. Sorenson A. 15. Jauregui R. 6. Ciss O. 11. Ndiaye B. 26. Marou S. 99. Chaney C. 7. Alvarez L.
1. Ketterer L. (G) 12. Zengue X. 6. Hafferty J. 5. Burks K. 24. Sargeant K. 3. Djeffal S. 8. Nick Firmino 11. Epps M. 23. Midence A. 71. Adedokun M. 99. Burke C.
Substitutes
47. Arango M. 9. Bakero J. 45. Bonus I. 10. Gray N. 80. Jaime C. 8. Moreno J. 2. Ngah F. 3. Ousmanou P. 12. Romig A. (G)
33. Ajago F. 27. Gilbert G. 37. Goldthorp E. 22. Greene J. 83. Mbongue H. 31. Thompson B. (G) 80. Williams D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Adedokun M. ⚽, Zengue X. (A),
23', Hafferty J. 🟨,
29', Sorenson A. 🟨,
35', Ciss O. 🟨,
45+2', Romero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Burke C. ⚽, Midence A. (A),
54', Burke C. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Chaney C. ⚽, Alvarez L. (A),
67', Burke C. ↓, Mbongue H. ↑,
68', Adedokun M. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
68', Jauregui R. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
68', Sorenson A. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
70', Djeffal S. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
75', Ndiaye B. ↓, Bakero J. ↑,
78', Midence A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
78', Zengue X. ↓, Greene J. ↑,
82', Nick Firmino 🟥,
90', Spielman N. 🟨,
90+2', Epps M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Chaney C. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Chaney C. (Pen),
1, Goldthorp E. (Pen),
2, Spielman N. (Pen),
2, Mbongue H. (Pen),
3, Alvarez L. (Pen),
3, Gilbert G. (Pen),
4, Moreno J. (Pen),
4, Epps M. (Pen),
5, Bakero J. (Pen),
Preview
Charlotte Ind is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lexington has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Lexington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Charlotte Ind will win today's game, with odds of 2.19.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Levy M. (G) 
Romero J. 
Sorenson A. 
Ciss O. 
Marou S. 
Alvarez L. 
Djeffal S. 
Nick Firmino 
Adedokun M. 
Burke C. 
Bakero J. 
Moreno J. 
Ajago F. 
Goldthorp E. 
Mbongue H. 
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