Match Info

USL League One

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.09	3.78	2.06
				Watch
	3.31	3.52	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.49)	3.65 ↓ (3.84)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
29.2%

Draw
25.6%

Charlotte Independence
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

23.8%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

24.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Independence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Texoma - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 16. Mason D. 12. Chavez J. (C) 5. Calfo A. 4. Kilwien P. 8. McCormick L. 7. McManus B. 15. Dlamini P. 22. Perkins W. 20. Asante S. 10. Spengler P.	28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. 4. Spielman N. 5. Romero J. 2. Ngah F. 6. Ciss O. 9. Bakero J. 11. Ndiaye B. 15. Jauregui R. 99. Chaney C. 26. Marou S.
Substitutes
19. Benamna D. 17. Bortniczuk M. 6. Gray L. 30. Jawneh L. 1. McCready M. (G) 27. Staszewski P. 2. Valentine R.	10. Gray N. 80. Jaime C. 16. Mbuyu T. 8. Moreno J. 3. Ousmanou P. 12. Romig A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Spengler P. ⚽, Bortniczuk M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', Jauregui R. 🟨,
63', Bakero J. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
63', Ciss O. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
66', McManus B. ↓, Benamna D. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, McCormick L. ⚽,
76', Chaney C. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Ngah F. ⚽,
79', Spielman N. 🟨,
83', Calfo A. 🟨,
84', Jauregui R. ↓, Mbuyu T. ↑,
88', McCormick L. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
89', Kilwien P. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
90', Perkins W. ↓, Staszewski P. ↑,
90+1', Jawneh L. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Chaney C. (Pen),
90+7', 3 - 2, Asante S. ⚽,
90+9', Asante S. ↓, Gray L. ↑,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Charlotte Ind may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Charlotte Ind will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Texoma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Including home match between the teams, Texoma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
14.06.25	Texoma - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Richmond Kickers - Texoma	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Texoma - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Texoma - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	AV Alta - Texoma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 TWWWT
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
15.06.25	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
11.06.25	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Charlotte Independence - Lexington	3:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
24.05.25	AV Alta - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
03.05.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:4

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