Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 13

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Lakeside Stadium (Melbourne)


	South Melbourne		Caroline Springs George Cross

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.7	4.65	1.39	Watch
	5.91	5.27	1.43
	11.16	8.94	1.14	Watch
	5.5	4.75	1.4
	5.37	5	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.73 ↑ (4.19)	5.72 ↑ (4.03)	1.35 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
14%

Draw
16.4%

Caroline Springs George Cross
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

19.6%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Melbourne's form might have worsened.

Caroline Springs George Cross has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caroline Springs George Cross's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Melbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Springs George Cross than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caroline Springs George Cross, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

South Melbourne - Caroline Springs George Cross Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Caroline Springs will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caroline Springs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Recent performances by South Melbourne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Caroline Springs is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Caroline Springs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caroline Springs is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
OFC Pro League
11.05.26	South Melbourne - Bula	4:2 ✺
09.05.26	South Melbourne - South Island United	4:2 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
08.05.26	Heidelberg United - South Melbourne	4:0 ✺
OFC Pro League
06.05.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
01.05.26	South Melbourne - Melbourne City Youth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL
- Caroline Springs George Cross
Australian NPL Victoria
09.05.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Hume City	2:4 ✺
02.05.26	Avondale - Caroline Springs George Cross	5:2 ✺
25.04.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Heidelberg United	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Melbourne City Youth - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLT

Upcoming Matches