Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 12

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon B		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.01	3.25	3.4
	2.13	3.3	3.58
	2.08	3.31	3.56	Watch
	2.03	3.22	3.39
	2.01	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	3.43 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
44.9%

Draw
28.3%

União de Santarém
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Sporting Lisbon B - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Pinto D. (G) 55. Silva J. 95. Taibo Dominguez L. 81. Arreiol H. 49. Barroso L. 52. Simoes J. 73. Felicissimo E. 88. Mendonca M. 78. Couto M. 82. Silva G. 80. Gomes L.	22. Hidalgo N. (G) 95. Sagna P. 4. Sebastian K. 76. Alcobia R. 21. Araujo P. 13. Apolinario R. 10. Silva L. 27. Juninho 11. Joao Ricardo 69. Nyah U. 28. Figueiredo B.
Substitutes
77. Besugo R. 50. Brito A. 58. Goncalves F. 96. Justo S. 79. Marques R. 90. Moreira A. 74. Pires G. (G) 71. Santos D. 44. Silva P.	19. Araujo R. 31. Balau D. 7. Bras D. 99. Gladison 16. Grilo M. 6. Guedes R. 9. Gustavo Franca 1. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 14. Simoes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Silva L. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Mendonca M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Gomes L. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
43', Hidalgo N. 🟨,
44', Silva G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Joao Ricardo ↓, Bras D. ↑,
46', Juninho ↓, Grilo M. ↑,
46', Nyah U. ↓, Balau D. ↑,
62', Silva G. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
63', Silva J. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Araujo P. ⚽,
70', Apolinario R. ↓, Guedes R. ↑,
73', Simoes J. ↓, Justo S. ↑,
73', Gomes L. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
75', Marques R. 🟨,
77', 2 - 3, Sebastian K. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
84', Barroso L. ↓, Besugo R. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90', Alcobia R. 🟨,
90+1', Silva L. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
90+1', Santos D. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, Moreira A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Sporting Lisbon B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santarém is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting Lisbon B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Lisbon B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
10.11.24	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
28.10.24	Sporting Lisbon B - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
18.10.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWT
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
10.11.24	Atlético CP - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
01.11.24	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	União de Santarém - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	União de Santarém - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.08.24	União de Santarém - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0
05.03.22	União de Santarém - Sporting Lisbon B	2:2
22.12.21	Sporting Lisbon B - União de Santarém	1:2

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