Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)


	Aldershot Town		Southampton U21

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.95	2.28
	2.57	3.97	2.33
	2.60	3.83	2.23	Watch
	2.54	3.78	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.6)	3.88 ↑ (3.83)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
36%

Draw
23.7%

Southampton U21
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

23.9%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

22.8%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Southampton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Aldershot Town - Southampton U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nash P. (G) 30. Abrahams T. 12. Anderson K. (C) 32. Clarridge J. 23. Ghandour H. 14. Gilligan C. 5. Jackson B. 26. Lewis-Evans J. 24. Mullins M. 27. Nelson T. 18. Rai K.	1. Moody D. (G) 22. Bragg C. (C) 18. Daley A. 9. Dipepa B. 5. Dobson-Ventura T. 3. Fry M. 21. Merry W. 4. Moore J. 12. Nutter W. 6. Okonola A. 8. Sesay M.
Substitutes
1. Dewhurst M. (G) 56. Holley M. 51. Martin J. 50. McMillan M. 42. Penney M. 29. Sell C. 20. Vaughan H.	13. Fisher H. (G) 17. Gathercole H. 25. Goremusandu T. 20. Vallance J. 28. Whittaker R. 19. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Sesay M. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Ghandour H. ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Dipepa B. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Nelson T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gilligan C. ↓, Vaughan H. ↑,
46', Lewis-Evans J. ↓, Penney M. ↑,
46', Fry M. ↓, Goremusandu T. ↑,
46', Bragg C. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
46', Sesay M. ↓, Whittaker R. ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Merry W. ⚽,
62', Nelson T. 🟨,
64', Rai K. 🟨,
65', Dipepa B. ↓, Gathercole H. ↑,
69', Anderson K. ↓, McMillan M. ↑,
69', Abrahams T. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Ghandour H. ⚽, McMillan M. (A),
80', Moore J. ↓, Vallance J. ↑,
82', Vallance J. 🟨,
83', Rai K. ↓, Sell C. ↑,
89', Okonola A. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Ghandour H. (Pen),
1, Merry W. (Pen),
2, Mullins M. (Pen),
2, Daley A. (Pen),
3, Nelson T. (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, Penney M. (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

Aldershot is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

S`hampton U21 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aldershot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aldershot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Aldershot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Southampton U21 - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
18.10.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Southend United - Aldershot Town	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLTL
- Southampton U21
English Premier League 2
03.10.25	Southampton U21 - Derby County U21	4:1 ✺
26.09.25	Manchester City U21 - Southampton U21	3:3 ✺
19.09.25	Southampton U21 - Burnley U21	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Woking - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.08.25	Ipswich Town U21 - Southampton U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League Cup
03.12.24	Aldershot Town - Southampton U21	2:1

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