Match Info

National League - Round 40

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Southend United		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.12	3.3	3.4
	2.15	3.14	3.56	Watch
	2.06	3.32	3.52	Watch
	2.12	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.31)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	3.43 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
44.5%

Draw
28.4%

Oldham Athletic
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Southend United - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Southend will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Oldham will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 22. Appiah-Forson K. 9. Bonne M. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 20. Goodliffe B. 15. Gubbins J. 21. Hopper T. 8. Husin N. 23. Morton 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H. (C)	31. Donaghy T. (G) 20. Caprice J. 10. Conlon T. (C) 19. Gardner D. 26. Harratt K. 5. Hobson S. 3. Kitching M. 34. Leake J. 30. Norwood J. 16. Raglan C. 15. Rossiter J.
Substitutes
7. Bridge J. 28. Coker O. 32. Jaakkola A. (G) 17. Miley C. 3. Ralph N. 11. Walker J. 4. Wind G.	13. Dennis J. (G) 24. Evans C. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 14. Garner J. 17. Uchegbulam J. 22. Worthington M. 28. Yoganathan V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Appiah-Forson K. ⚽,
26', Norwood J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gardner D. ↓, Uchegbulam J. ↑,
62', Fondop-Talum M. 🟨,
65', Morton ↓, Ralph N. ↑,
65', Gubbins J. ↓, Miley C. ↑,
69', Hopper T. 🟨,
74', Conlon T. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
74', Rossiter J. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
77', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Coker O. ↑,
78', Appiah-Forson K. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
83', Caprice J. 🟨,
89', Leake J. ↓, Garner J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southend won 2.

Recent matches Southend is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oldham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oldham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Southend will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Southend won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:9 (average 1.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
25.03.25	Boston United - Southend United	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Eastleigh - Southend United	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Forest Green Rovers - Southend United	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Southend United - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Southend United - Woking	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTWT
- Oldham Athletic
English National League
22.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Tamworth - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Boston United - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Southend United	1:1
02.03.24	Oldham Athletic - Southend United	1:1
05.08.23	Southend United - Oldham Athletic	4:0
18.04.23	Oldham Athletic - Southend United	2:0
20.08.22	Southend United - Oldham Athletic	1:0
English League Two
06.03.21	Oldham Athletic - Southend United	0:0
27.10.20	Southend United - Oldham Athletic	1:2

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