The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southern District 39.8%
Draw 26.1%
Eastern District 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
26.5%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
25.8%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
The chances for Eastern District have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Southern District - Eastern District Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ng W. H. (G) 16. Chak Ting-Fung 99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 3. Fabio Erins 22. Golubovic S. 2. Hall C. 12. Lai K. 63. Landa B. 9. Poon Pui-Hin 11. Sasaki S. (C) 10. Wong Ho-Chun Anson
23. Paulo Cesar (G) 4. Bruno Bianconi 15. Bruno Luiz 5. Helio (C) 16. Kwok T. B. 13. Li Ngai-Hoi 11. Luizinho 7. Michel Renner 10. Salinas A. 8. Scott C. 3. Sung K.
Substitutes
24. Cheung P. 19. Chong T. A. 5. Danilo Santos 77. Hon Shing-Wing 32. Hui P. A. (G) 27. Kayron 14. Lee C. 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 31. Ngan N. S. (G) 7. Stefan
6. Almazan D. 26. Chan Y. 32. Korani K. 17. Leo 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 20. McMillan M. 44. Wong C. 27. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan 72. Yoong K. 22. Yuen C. H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Golubovic S. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Lai K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sung K. ↓, Leo ↑,
55', Landa B. ↓, Danilo Santos ↑,
64', Leo 🟨,
68', Poon Pui-Hin ↓, Lee Ka-Yiu ↑,
68', Wong Ho-Chun Anson ↓, Stefan ↑,
78', Golubovic S. ↓, Kayron ↑,
78', Cheng Tsz-Sum ↓, Lee C. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Stefan ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5th and 7th).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Eastern District may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Southern District has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Eastern District has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Southern District has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Southern District against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).