Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 28

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday


	Southport		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.33	7
	1.38	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.83	7.81
	1.37	4.83	7.81
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.37	4.6	7.55
	1.37	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	4.58 ↑ (4.45)	7.45 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
67.6%

Draw
20.1%

Bishops Stortford
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.8%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

19.2%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Southport - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Southport will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bishops Stortford will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bishops Stortford: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Hmami J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Carver M. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Bennett R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 3 - 1, Charles R. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Philliskirk D. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Southport is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bishops Stortford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Southport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bishops Stortford have a series of home games.

In this match Southport is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Southport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
23.03.24	Southport - Buxton	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:3 ✺
12.03.24	Chester - Southport	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Banbury United - Southport	0:1 ✺
05.03.24	Warrington Town - Southport	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TLWWW
- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
23.03.24	Bishops Stortford - Scarborough Athletic	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Bishops Stortford - King`s Lynn Town	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Alfreton Town - Bishops Stortford	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Bishops Stortford - Scunthorpe United	0:5 ✺
05.03.24	Bishops Stortford - Chorley	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.10.23	Bishops Stortford - Southport	2:3

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