Match Info

National League North - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Southport		Macclesfield Town

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.50	1.85
	3.80	3.45	1.76
	3.47	4.02	1.89
	3.45	4.05	1.88	Watch
	3.40	3.95	1.87
	3.71	3.60	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
25.8%

Draw
24.4%

Macclesfield Town
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

26.4%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.9%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Southport - Macclesfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 23rd in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Southport (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Macclesfield shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Macclesfield may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Macclesfield is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Southport has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:21 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Southport against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 2.2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Macclesfield	12	7	3	2	18:11	7	24
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13:23	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Southport - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 25.63%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
24.10.26	King`s Lynn Town - Southport	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Southport - Radcliffe	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Harborough Town - Southport	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Southport - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Worksop Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLTL
- Macclesfield Town
English National League North
24.10.26	Macclesfield Town - Hereford	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
20.10.26	Anstey Nomads - Macclesfield Town	0:3 ✺
17.10.26	Macclesfield Town - Anstey Nomads	1:1 ✺
English National League North
10.10.26	Macclesfield Town - South Shields	4:3 ✺
English FA Cup
06.10.26	Scarborough Athletic - Macclesfield Town	1:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.04.26	Macclesfield Town - Southport	2:1
19.08.25	Southport - Macclesfield Town	1:2
English National League
04.04.17	Southport - Macclesfield Town	1:2
16.08.16	Macclesfield Town - Southport	3:1
05.12.15	Southport - Macclesfield Town	3:1
11.08.15	Macclesfield Town - Southport	0:0
14.02.15	Southport - Macclesfield Town	1:1

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