Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 9

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Spalding United		Lowestoft Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.55
	2.31	3.65	2.55
	2.27	3.92	2.56
	2.34	3.95	2.6	Watch
	2.28	3.6	2.54
	2.31	3.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.08)	3.71 ↑ (3.7)	2.56 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
39.9%

Draw
24.5%

Lowestoft Town
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

24.9%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Lowestoft Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lowestoft Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spalding United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lowestoft Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spalding United - Lowestoft Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Overton G. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Clarke F. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Cybulski B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 2 - 2, Cybulski B. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Chettle C. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Spalding is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lowestoft is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spalding could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
21.09.24	Spalding United - Biggleswade Town	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Alfreton Town - Spalding United	2:1 penalties ✺
14.09.24	Spalding United - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Harborough Town - Spalding United	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Spalding United - Sudbury Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTLL
- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.09.24	Kettering Town - Lowestoft Town	4:1 ✺
10.09.24	Lowestoft Town - Royston Town	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Lowestoft Town - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Sudbury Town - Lowestoft Town	6:1 ✺
24.08.24	Lowestoft Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW

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