Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sparta Rotterdam		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.50	3.60	Watch
	2.00	3.70	3.40
	1.92	3.65	3.60
	2.09	3.80	3.58
	1.92	3.9	3.64	Watch
	2.07	3.60	3.45
	2.06	3.61	3.71	Watch
	2.06	3.60	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	3.67 ↓ (3.92)	3.55 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
47.2%

Draw
25.9%

Zwolle
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

21%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	12.8%	10.3%

Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). Zwolle will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 63.7% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zwolle (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brouwer M. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Kuipers B. 6. Baas J. 8. Hatenboer C. 7. Terho C. 10. Mito S. 11. van Bergen M. 9. Zonneveld M.	1. Schendelaar J. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 24. Viergever N. 2. Floranus S. 30. Thomas R. (C) 8. Sommer T. 11. Mbayo D. 25. Oosting T. 22. Cissoko I. 10. Kostons K.
Substitutes
21. Babadi I. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 22. Ideho J. 19. Kostic A. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 14. Quintero T. 12. Reith B. 16. Roaldsoy A. 18. Toornstra J. 13. Verschuren N. 15. Vianello G.	16. de Graaff T. (G) 34. Fichtinger N. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 38. Rahajaan G. 20. Reiziger G. 9. Sorensen E. 33. van der Haar D. 37. van der Wal G. 17. van Hooijdonk S. 18. Velanas O. 4. Velthuis T. 41. Verduin D. (G)
Coaches
Meijer R.	Van Der Vegt H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Cissoko I. ⚽, Mbayo D. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Zonneveld M. ⚽, Baas J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Oosting T. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
63', Floranus S. 🟨,
68', Terho C. ↓, Babadi I. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Babadi I. ⚽, Zonneveld M. (A),
75', Floranus S. ↓, van der Haar D. ↑,
75', Cissoko I. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
79', Hatenboer C. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
79', Baas J. ↓, Roaldsoy A. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Kostons K. ⚽, Sommer T. (A),
86', Sommer T. 🟨,
86', Martins Indi B. ↓, Verschuren N. ↑,
86', Zonneveld M. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
88', Sommer T. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0.

Sparta Rotterdam has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zwolle's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sparta Rotterdam might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Zwolle: Burger J. (Knock) Namli Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: van Cruijsen R. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6
17	Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6:21	-15	4

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Sparta Rotterdam: 0.15% Zwolle: 0.09%

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta Rotterdam - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.65%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
29.08.26	Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	3:3 ✺
14.08.26	Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLT
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
29.08.26	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Heerenveen - Zwolle	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Twente - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Zwolle - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Hannover - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	1:1
08.11.25	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0
15.03.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	1:1
30.11.24	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0
04.02.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	0:2
12.08.23	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	3:1

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