The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zwolle 28.5%
Draw 23.2%
NEC Nijmegen 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.2%
22.2%
56.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
21.4%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zwolle's performance.
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
23.1%
76.9%
Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 54% – 99.8%.
1. Schendelaar J. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 24. Viergever N. 2. Floranus S. 25. Oosting T. 30. Thomas R. (C) 8. Sommer T. 11. Mbayo D. 10. Kostons K. 9. Sorensen E.
1. Crettaz G. (G) 21. Storm T. 17. Nuytinck B. 24. Fonville D. 19. Tahaui A. 35. Monteiro J. 20. Lebreton N. 99. Bischoff C. 10. Tadic D. 9. Chery T. (C) 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
22. Cissoko I. 16. de Graaff T. (G) 34. Fichtinger N. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 33. van der Haar D. 37. van der Wal G. 18. Velanas O. 4. Velthuis T. 41. Verduin D. (G)
73. Bras G. 36. Entius F. (G) 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 66. Kabar A. 34. Kers K. 7. Mor E. 2. Pereira B. 12. Polster N. (G) 4. Schuurs P. 14. Sierhuis K. 32. van Crooij V. 11. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.
Schreuder D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Chery T. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 0 - 2, Chery T. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 1 - 2, Kostons K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fonville D. ↓, Kabar A. ↑,
63', Kabar A. 🟨,
64', Sorensen E. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
64', Oosting T. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
67', Tahaui A. ↓, Mor E. ↑,
67', Bischoff C. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
70', Tadic D. 🟨,
72', Kostons K. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Storm T. 🟨,
80', Nuytinck B. ↓, Schuurs P. ↑,
80', Linssen B. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Schuurs P. ⚽, Chery T. (A),
86', Sommer T. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
90+3', Aertssen O. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 0.
Recent form of Zwolle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nijmegen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Nijmegen is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Zwolle: Burger J.
(Knock)
Namli Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nijmegen: Kaplan A.
(Knee Injury)
Mor E.
(Inactive)
Ouaissa S.
(Muscle Injury)
Sandler P.
(Injury)
Schuurs P.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).
Austria
Germany
Netherlands
Usa
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Schendelaar J. (G) 
Graves S. 
Floranus S. 
Thomas R. (C) 
Mbayo D. 
Crettaz G. (G) 
Monteiro J. 
Lebreton N. 
Tadic D. 
Chery T. (C) 
Cissoko I. 
Bras G. 
Hansen-Aaroen I. 
Kabar A. 
Mor E. 
Polster N. (G) 
Willumsson W. T. 
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