What is the expert prediction for Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, October 25, 2025)

Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	Zwolle		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.55	3.95	1.95
	3.3	3.95	2.14
	2.78	3.79	2.30	Watch
	3.61	3.79	2	Watch
	2.82	3.7	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.74)	3.83 ↑ (3.73)	2.09 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
29.1%

Draw
25.1%

NEC Nijmegen
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

25.4%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

25.3%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zwolle's form might have worsened.

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zwolle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	12.5%	79.2%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): NEC Nijmegen will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schendelaar J. (G) 6. Gooijer T. 28. Graves S. (C) 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 34. Fichtinger N. 35. Monteiro J. 7. Shoretire S. 25. Oosting T. 22. de Rooij K. 10. Kostons K.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 3. Sandler P. 4. Kaplan A. 6. Nejasmic D. 25. Ouaissa S. 23. Sano K. 10. Chery T. (C) 11. Onal B. 18. Ogawa K. 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
3. Aertssen O. 29. Buitink T. 16. de Graaff T. (G) 19. Faberski J. 21. Lagsir S. 11. Mbayo D. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 42. Ruward D. 41. Verduin D. (G)	22. Cillessen J. (G) 34. El Kachati Y. 24. Fonville D. 21. Gonzalez R. 31. Janse R. (G) 20. Lebreton N. 7. Misidjan V. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 9. Shiogai K. 32. van Crooij V.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
20', Gooijer T. ↓, Aertssen O. ↑,
31', Ogawa K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 1, Monteiro J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Kaplan A. ⚽,
50', 2 - 2, Kostons K. ⚽, de Rooij K. (A),
69', Sandler P. 🟨,
71', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
71', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
71', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
78', Kostons K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
88', Shoretire S. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
88', Fichtinger N. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 0.

Recent form of Zwolle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Nijmegen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Zwolle has had a series of away games.

Nijmegen might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Manu B. M. (Suspended) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Willems J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: van der Haar D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	NAC Breda - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Heerenveen - Zwolle	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.10.25	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Volendam - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLLLT
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	NEC Nijmegen - Twente	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.25	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	0:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.24	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	4:3 ET
Dutch Eredivisie
24.08.24	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	1:0
14.04.24	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	2:2
09.12.23	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:3
05.02.22	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:1
20.08.21	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	2:0

Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide