Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Slokas Stadions (Jūrmala) 🌤️ ...


	Spartaks		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.82
	4.1	3.4	1.75
	3.75	3.35	1.84
	4.08	3.22	1.79
	4	3.2	1.83
	4.2	3.54	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.42)	3.34 ↓ (3.74)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartaks
22.6%

Draw
27.1%

Auda Riga
50.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.6%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartaks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auda Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Spartaks - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Spartaks will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Auda will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartaks: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).

Spartaks is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Auda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Auda is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Spartaks won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartaks won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartaks Jurmala
Latvian Virsliga
20.08.22	Metta - Spartaks	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Spartaks - Liepāja	2:3 ✺
08.08.22	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Spartaks - Super Nova	2:3 ✺
24.07.22	Riga - Spartaks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLL
- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
21.08.22	Auda Riga - Riga	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
14.08.22	Valmiera - Auda Riga	0:1 penalties ✺
Latvian Virsliga
07.08.22	Liepāja - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
01.08.22	Auda Riga - Valmiera	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Rīgas FS - Auda Riga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
17.06.22	Auda Riga - Spartaks	5:0
24.04.22	Spartaks - Auda Riga	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
01.11.26	Auda Riga - Jelgava	✺

Spartaks - Auda Riga