Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday


	Spennymoor Town		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.75
	1.25	5.5	11
	1.25	6.06	10.75
	1.24	6.06	10.75
	1.18	5.8	12
	1.22	5.52	10.6
	1.25	5.2	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (2)	5.63 ↑ (3.75)	10.44 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
74.8%

Draw
16.4%

Banbury United
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

24.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

24.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spennymoor Town's performance.

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banbury United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spennymoor Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Spennymoor Town - Banbury United Predictions

Users Predictions: Spennymoor Town will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Harris W. (Pen),
26', 2 - 0, Mbeka L. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Hewitt C. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Ramshaw R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 3 - 2, Hewitt C. ⚽,
78', 4 - 2, Taylor G. (Pen),
90+1', 5 - 2, McKeown C. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 18 and 20).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Spennymoor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Spennymoor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Spennymoor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Spennymoor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
06.04.24	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Spennymoor Town - Farsley	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	South Shields - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
26.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLWW
- Banbury United
English National League North
06.04.24	Banbury United - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Banbury United - Hereford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Bishops Stortford - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
26.03.24	Banbury United - South Shields	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Curzon Ashton - Banbury United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.08.23	Banbury United - Spennymoor Town	0:3
22.04.23	Banbury United - Spennymoor Town	0:1
22.10.22	Spennymoor Town - Banbury United	2:1

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