Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 42

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday


	Banbury United		Hereford

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.49
	5.5	4.2	1.52	Watch
	5.85	4.33	1.51
	5.85	4.33	1.51
	4.6	3.75	1.62
	5.72	4.3	1.49
	5.2	4.1	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.02)	4.14 ↑ (3.75)	1.52 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
17.1%

Draw
22.3%

Hereford
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.7%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.7%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banbury United's form might have worsened.

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hereford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banbury United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hereford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Banbury United - Hereford Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Banbury will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hereford will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Williams A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Williams A. (Pen),
69', 1 - 2, Charles K. (Pen),
77', Cameron N. 🟥,
87', Skinner A. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Banbury has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hereford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Banbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hereford is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hereford to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Banbury won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Banbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English National League North
01.04.24	Bishops Stortford - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
26.03.24	Banbury United - South Shields	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Curzon Ashton - Banbury United	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Scunthorpe United - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Banbury United - Southport	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
01.04.24	Hereford - Buxton	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Hereford - Farsley	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Hereford - Alfreton Town	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Hereford - Chorley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.11.23	Hereford - Banbury United	4:1
28.01.23	Hereford - Banbury United	2:3
27.08.22	Banbury United - Hereford	3:1
English Southern Premier League
27.01.18	Hereford - Banbury United	3:0
10.10.17	Banbury United - Hereford	0:1

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