Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 41

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Spennymoor Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.33
	1.65	4	4.5
	1.67	3.92	4.93
	1.68	3.92	4.73
	1.57	3.9	4.75
	1.65	3.92	4.63
	1.65	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)	3.88 (3.88)	4.6 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
56.2%

Draw
23.8%

Gloucester City
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

22.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Harris W. (Pen),
65', 2 - 0, Taylor G. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Ross C. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spennymoor won 1.

Spennymoor in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Gloucester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spennymoor is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Spennymoor to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Spennymoor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Spennymoor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
16.03.24	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Boston United - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Bishops Stortford - Spennymoor Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWW
- Gloucester City
English National League North
16.03.24	Warrington Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Gloucester City - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Gloucester City - Boston United	3:7 ✺
24.02.24	Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Buxton - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.11.23	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	4:2
25.02.23	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	2:0
05.11.22	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	3:0
26.02.22	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	0:0
04.12.21	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	2:0
07.11.20	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	2:2
01.02.20	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	1:2

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