Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Spennymoor Town		Farsley

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.59	3.79	5.81
	1.59	3.79	5.81
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.57	3.85	5.5
	1.55	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.79)	3.77 ↑ (3.59)	5.5 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
58.8%

Draw
24.4%

Farsley
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spennymoor Town's performance.

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spennymoor Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Spennymoor Town - Farsley Predictions

Users Predictions: Spennymoor Town will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Atkinson B. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Harris W. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, Staunton R. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Ramshaw R. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spennymoor won 3.

Spennymoor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Farsley has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spennymoor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spennymoor is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Spennymoor to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Spennymoor won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Spennymoor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
29.03.24	South Shields - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
26.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
29.03.24	Farsley - Southport	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Hereford - Farsley	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Boston United - Farsley	3:0 ✺
12.03.24	Farsley - Warrington Town	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Farsley - Alfreton Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.11.23	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	0:0
29.04.23	Spennymoor Town - Farsley	2:1
24.09.22	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	2:2
05.03.22	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	1:2
11.09.21	Spennymoor Town - Farsley	6:0
06.10.20	Spennymoor Town - Farsley	2:1
17.08.19	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	1:0

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