Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Spennymoor Town		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.33
	1.66	4	4.33
	1.67	4.03	4.6
	1.62	3.8	4.33
	1.74	4.33	4.76	Watch
	1.66	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.99 ↑ (3.99)	4.45 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
55.9%

Draw
23.2%

Morpeth Town
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

26.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spennymoor Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Spennymoor Town - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Spennymoor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morpeth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spennymoor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Spennymoor is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
07.09.24	Spennymoor Town - Hereford	0:0 ✺
03.09.24	Radcliffe - Spennymoor Town	2:4 ✺
31.08.24	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Spennymoor Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Rushall Olympic - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTL
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Morpeth Town - Hebburn Town	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ashton United - Morpeth Town	0:1 ✺
26.08.24	Blyth Spartans - Morpeth Town	1:4 ✺
24.08.24	Morpeth Town - Warrington Rylands	0:3 ✺
20.08.24	Morpeth Town - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWWLW

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