Match Info

Date: 10 April 2021, Saturday


	Spezia		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	4	Watch
	1.72	4	4.5
	1.8	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.73	3.95	4.3
	1.88	3.88	4.26
	1.78	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.89	3.9	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	3.93 ↓ (3.93)	4.26 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
53.2%

Draw
24.3%

Crotone
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

16.6%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.8%	13.6%	10.6%

Spezia - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 50 - 75.8%). Crotone will win (votes: 7 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 65.5% – 86.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Spezia has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Crotone has a very good chance of relegated (99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Spezia is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Spezia won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie A
03.04.21	Lazio - Spezia	2:1 ✺
20.03.21	Spezia - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
12.03.21	Atalanta - Spezia	3:1 ✺
06.03.21	Spezia - Benevento	1:1 ✺
02.03.21	Juventus - Spezia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLTL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
03.04.21	Napoli - Crotone	4:3 ✺
20.03.21	Crotone - Bologna	2:3 ✺
12.03.21	Lazio - Crotone	3:2 ✺
07.03.21	Crotone - Torino	4:2 ✺
03.03.21	Atalanta - Crotone	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.12.20	Crotone - Spezia	4:1
Italian Serie B
26.01.20	Crotone - Spezia	1:2
31.08.19	Spezia - Crotone	1:2
04.05.19	Spezia - Crotone	2:0
27.12.18	Crotone - Spezia	0:3
15.04.16	Crotone - Spezia	0:0
27.11.15	Spezia - Crotone	0:1

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