Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	BT Sport
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Lazio		Spezia

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.42	4.75	7
	1.43	4.9	6.5
	1.43	4.8	6.6
	1.47	5.07	6.84
	1.42	4.6	7	Watch
	1.41	4.95	7.2	Watch
	1.45	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	4.88 ↓ (4.92)	6.89 ↓ (8.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: fubo Sports Network (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
66.7%

Draw
19.5%

Spezia
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

19.2%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.8%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.7%	7%	9.3%

Lazio - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (72 of 86 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.92% – 91.52%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 12).

Lazio has the most likely position - 6 (11.25%), has project points - 64, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (33%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (11.1%), has project points - 38, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 57, importance 43, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lazio is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
18.09.22	Cremonese - Lazio	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Midtjylland - Lazio	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.09.22	Lazio - Verona	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Lazio - Feyenoord	4:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.09.22	Lazio - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie A
17.09.22	Spezia - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Napoli - Spezia	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Spezia - Bologna	2:2 ✺
31.08.22	Juventus - Spezia	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.04.22	Spezia - Lazio	3:4
28.08.21	Lazio - Spezia	6:1
03.04.21	Lazio - Spezia	2:1
05.12.20	Spezia - Lazio	1:2
Club Friendly
24.07.13	Lazio - Spezia	3:0

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