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Current Win Probability
Spezia 58.9%
Draw 25.5%
Latina 15.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.5%
21.9%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
20.4%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spezia's form might have worsened.
Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Spezia - Latina Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 37. Mateju A. 13. Sapola M. 6. Sganzerla R. 72. Capolupo S. 14. Capomaggio G. (C) 70. Bright K. 77. Durmush M. 10. Jimenez K. 11. Cardinali A. 7. Di Serio G.
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 32. Parodi G. 13. Marenco F. (C) 6. Calabrese B. 2. Ercolano E. 4. De Cristofaro A. 8. Castorri G. 30. De Ciancio R. 70. Tomaselli G. 7. Baez J. 28. Plescia V.
Substitutes
44. Benvenuto M. 3. Cancellieri D. 21. Candelari P. 34. Cannavo K. 75. Cassano A. 97. Cazzadori D. 22. Ciocci G. (G) 35. Doretti G. (G) 90. Fontanarosa R. 65. Giorgeschi S. 5. Joselito 24. Limonelli C. 31. Oyono J. 55. Spedalieri J.
1. Basti M. (G) 5. Bruscagin M. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 14. Gagliano L. 12. Giora F. (G) 45. Keita C. 36. Lipani J. 3. Porro M. 9. Sylla Y.
Coaches
Turati M.
Volpe G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Mateju A. ⚽, Durmush M. (A),
19', Marenco F. 🟨,
33', Turati M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Calabrese B. 🟨,
51', Di Serio G. 🟥,
52', Jimenez K. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Plescia V. ⚽, Tomaselli G. (A),
59', Volpe G. 🟨,
63', Sganzerla R. 🟨,
66', Castorri G. ↓, Lipani J. ↑,
66', Calabrese B. ↓, Porro M. ↑,
68', Marenco F. 🟨,
71', Tomaselli G. ↓, Bruscagin M. ↑,
78', Durmush M. ↓, Oyono J. ↑,
78', Capolupo S. ↓, Cancellieri D. ↑,
83', Plescia V. ↓, Gagliano L. ↑,
86', Mateju A. 🟨,
90+1', Sapola M. ↓, Cannavo K. ↑,
90+1', Cardinali A. ↓, Fontanarosa R. ↑,
90+4', Fontanarosa R. 🟨,
90+5', Volpe G. 🟥,
Preview
The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Serie B and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3.
Spezia is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Latina has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Latina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Spezia as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Spezia in today's match, at odds of 1.48.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Spezia has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:9 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spezia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.8:2 per game).
Italy
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Micai A. (G) 
Mateju A. 
Sapola M. 
Capomaggio G. (C) 
Durmush M. 
Jimenez K. 
Baez J. 
Cannavo K. 
Oyono J. 
Keita C. 
Sylla Y. 
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