Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gauzolino S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Spezia		Gubbio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	5.25	10.50
	1.27	4.70	8.00	Watch
	1.29	5.23	11.33
	1.29	4.66	10	Watch
	1.27	5.15	10.00
	1.28	4.94	12.10	Watch
	1.24	5.00	10.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	4.99 ↑ (4.59)	10.28 ↑ (8.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
72.6%

Draw
18.4%

Gubbio
9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.7%

19.9%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

18.6%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Spezia - Gubbio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 37. Mateju A. 13. Sapola M. 6. Sganzerla R. 31. Oyono J. 70. Bright K. 24. Limonelli C. 14. Capomaggio G. 97. Cazzadori D. 9. Mazzocchi S. (C) 11. Cardinali A.	1. Bagnolini N. (G) 34. Zallu F. 4. Baroncelli L. 70. Ferrini M. 27. Podda L. 7. Spina M. 67. Carraro F. 8. Rosaia G. (C) 73. Ghirardello T. 92. Baldini E. 10. La Mantia A.
Substitutes
44. Benvenuto M. 3. Cancellieri D. 21. Candelari P. 34. Cannavo K. 22. Ciocci G. (G) 7. Di Serio G. 35. Doretti G. (G) 77. Durmush M. 90. Fontanarosa R. 65. Giorgeschi S. 10. Jimenez K. 5. Joselito 55. Spedalieri J. 28. Zilli M.	76. Barani L. 6. Barry O. 81. Beretta G. 17. Fazzi N. 22. Marson L. (G) 24. Piomboni L. 15. Signorini A. 21. Zorzetto B.
Coaches
Turati M.	Braglia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Sganzerla R. ⚽, Cardinali A. (A),
19', Ghirardello T. 🟨,
25', Cardinali A. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Mazzocchi S. ⚽, Mateju A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Baldini E. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
57', Spina M. 🟨,
60', La Mantia A. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
62', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
67', Spina M. ↓, Barani L. ↑,
74', Oyono J. ↓, Cancellieri D. ↑,
81', Rosaia G. ↓, Zorzetto B. ↑,
83', Cazzadori D. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
83', Limonelli C. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
84', Cardinali A. ↓, Cannavo K. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Serie B and 16th).

Spezia arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Gubbio is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Spezia as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Spezia has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Spezia	11	9	2	0	19:5	14	29
19	Gubbio	11	2	1	8	10:21	-11	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.26	Reggiana - Spezia	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Pescara - Spezia	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Spezia - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Spezia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Gubbio - Perugia	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Ravenna - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Gubbio - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Pescara - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Gubbio - Latina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.16	Gubbio - Spezia	2:2

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