Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 24

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Spjelkavik		Kvik

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.50	4.75
	1.88	3.6	3.2
	1.91	3.73	3.12
	1.65	4.28	4.05	Watch
	1.89	3.65	3.05
	1.95	3.64	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.51)	3.9 ↓ (4.74)	3.55 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spjelkavik
50.9%

Draw
23.4%

Kvik
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.9%

19.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

18.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spjelkavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spjelkavik's form might have worsened.

Kvik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kvik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spjelkavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kvik than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kvik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spjelkavik - Kvik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Skulstad S. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Lyso-Johansen B. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Lyso-Johansen B. ⚽,
24', 2 - 2, Irving F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 12th in the Relegation).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Spjelkavik could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Spjelkavik is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Spjelkavik has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spjelkavik against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Spjelkavik	25	8	5	12	45:56	-11	29
11	FK Kvik	25	8	5	12	37:57	-20	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
09.10.26	Herd - Spjelkavik	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Spjelkavik - Ranheim 2	2:5 ✺
26.09.26	Melhus - Spjelkavik	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Spjelkavik - Rosenborg II	0:4 ✺
14.09.26	Aalesunds 2 - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLL
- FK Kvik
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
10.10.26	Orkla FK - Kvik	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Kvik - Byåsen	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Herd - Kvik	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Kvik - NTNUI	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Strindheim - Kvik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
02.05.26	Kvik - Spjelkavik	1:2
12.07.25	Kvik - Spjelkavik	1:4
03.05.25	Spjelkavik - Kvik	1:1

Spjelkavik - Kvik