Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)


	Sport Boys		Unión Comercio

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.68	3.65	5.3	Watch
	1.68	3.8	5.04
	1.68	3.7	5.04
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.64	3.56	5.24	Watch
	1.64	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	3.66 ↑ (3.59)	5.1 ↓ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sport Boys
56.5%

Draw
25.4%

Unión Comercio
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

25.9%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

20.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Boys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Sport Boys - Unión Comercio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 28. Chavez E. 5. Amondarain M. 4. Lutiger R. 31. Carbajal C. 17. Morales J. 22. Rios J. 19. Palacios B. 10. Techera C. 15. Benites A. 9. Roca F.	1. Barrios I. (G) 31. Serra P. 15. Jimenez O. 3. Paredes T. 27. Trujillo L. 17. Vargas D. 20. Ramirez C. 10. Hernan Perez 24. Javier Navea 7. Carranza M. 29. Zeta H.
Substitutes
11. Aburto B. 3. Alcedo F. 27. Bueno P. 8. Grahl F. 30. Pena K. 6. Quintana A. 12. Quispe I. (G) 18. Rodriguez G. 25. Salazar R.	12. Diaz W. (G) 14. Regalado I. 2. Salas J. 5. Sanchez K. 8. Sandoval V. 26. Tandazo J. 30. Torres J. 19. Uribe C. 16. Villamarin R.
Coaches
Alayo J.	Garcia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Jimenez O. 🟨,
34', Roca F. 🟨,
45+2', Vargas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vargas D. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
54', Serra P. 🟨,
56', Javier Navea 🟨,
56', Benites A. ↓, Bueno P. ↑,
56', Chavez E. ↓, Salazar R. ↑,
59', Rios J. 🟨,
63', Javier Navea ↓, Sandoval V. ↑,
66', Rios J. ↓, Grahl F. ↑,
66', Palacios B. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
72', Carranza M. ↓, Regalado I. ↑,
73', Grahl F. ↓, Aburto B. ↑,
86', Serra P. ↓, Uribe C. ↑,
90+2', Amondarain M. 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sport Boys won 2.

Sport Boys is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unión Comercio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sport Boys is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sport Boys won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sport Boys won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
18.04.24	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Sport Boys - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
14.03.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTL
- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 1
19.04.24	Unión Comercio - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Alianza Atlético - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
29.03.24	Cusco - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
09.07.23	Unión Comercio - Sport Boys	0:1
06.02.23	Sport Boys - Unión Comercio	2:1
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
23.06.21	Unión Comercio - Sport Boys	1:0 penalties
Peruvian Liga 1
21.07.19	Unión Comercio - Sport Boys	1:1
23.02.19	Sport Boys - Unión Comercio	0:1
25.11.18	Unión Comercio - Sport Boys	4:2
25.08.18	Sport Boys - Unión Comercio	2:4

Upcoming Matches