The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Boys 27%
Draw 30.2%
Universitario de Deportes 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
28.7%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.4%
27.6%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Sport Boys - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Users Predictions:
Universitario de Deportes will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 26. Riojas H. (C) 3. Zambrano C. 29. Loyola N. 47. Trauco M. 8. Da Campo N. 24. Mora O. 13. Llontop M. 9. Nequecaur L. 11. Urruti L.
1. Romero D. (G) 2. Fara C. 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 23. Murrugarra J. 24. Polo A. 8. Fertoli H. 17. Concha J. 27. Carabali J. 19. Flores E. (C) 30. Alzugaray L.
Substitutes
10. Alarcon J. 4. Alfani R. 28. Gonzales E. 5. Illanes F. 30. Liza P. 7. Lopez C. 36. Paz N. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J.
6. Castillo J. 29. Corzo A. 33. Inga C. 99. Miguel Silveira 16. Perez Guedes M. 77. Reyna B. 11. Rivera J. 4. Santamaria A. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Desio C.
Araujo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Carabali J. 🟥,
30', Trauco M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Concha J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
58', Flores E. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
62', Trauco M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
62', Llontop M. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
69', Fertoli H. ↓, Perez Guedes M. ↑,
71', Riojas H. 🟨,
74', Loyola N. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
79', Da Campo N. 🟨,
82', Murrugarra J. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
83', Alzugaray L. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 1.
Recent form of Sport Boys has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni de Deportes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Uni de Deportes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sport Boys: Solis L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H.
(Inactive)
Reyna P.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Sport Boys: Dulanto G.
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.5:1.4).
Peru
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Melian D. (G) 
Saba E. 
Riojas H. (C) 
Da Campo N. 
Riveros W. 
Carabali J. 
Lopez C. 
Miguel Silveira 
Vargas M. (G) 
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