Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Huancayo (Huancayo)

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)


	Sport Huancayo		Carlos A. Mannucci

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.41	4.85	6.7	Watch
	1.61	3.95	5.99
	1.62	3.59	5.99
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.63	3.63	5.55	Watch
	1.56	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.39)	3.92 ↓ (4.48)	5.7 ↓ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Huancayo
59.8%

Draw
23.8%

Carlos A. Mannucci
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

19%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Huancayo's form might have worsened.

Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Sport Huancayo - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Huancayo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Mannucci will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huancayo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Pinto J. (G) 15. Garro L. 3. Minaya D. 37. Quina M. 2. Angeles H. 27. Perez Garcia M. 22. Salcedo R. 11. Ross C. 10. Lliuya M. 20. Gomez R. 9. Cano L.	12. Heredia M. (G) 24. Miguez P. 19. Rizzo G. 88. Quina N. 4. Saba E. 16. Benitez A. 6. Viera G. 33. Hurtado C. 13. Llontop M. 9. Succar M. (C) 10. Albarracin N.
Substitutes
7. Carranza T. 29. Ccorahua A. (G) 16. Cumbicus J. 19. Huaccha R. 23. Mendoza Suarez C. J. 8. Nunez J. 44. Torres L. 38. Villar E. 14. Viveros J.	14. Cortave M. 11. Cortes J. 2. Cossio A. 26. Franco E. (G) 5. Gaona M. 17. Liza P. 7. Succar A. 15. Velarde C. 21. Vidales J.
Coaches
Bermudez Tucto M.	Mendes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Succar M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Cano L. ⚽, Perez Garcia M. (A),
33', Benitez A. ↓, Vidales J. ↑,
33', Miguez P. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Albarracin N. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
66', Gomez R. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
66', Ross C. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
75', Viera G. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
77', Succar M. ↓, Succar A. ↑,
80', Quina N. 🟨,
80', Cano L. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
81', Perez Garcia M. ↓, Carranza T. ↑,
88', Minaya D. 🟨,
89', Velarde C. 🟨,
90+3', Lliuya M. ↓, Mendoza Suarez C. J. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huancayo won 3.

Huancayo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mannucci is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Huancayo is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Huancayo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Huancayo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
20.04.24	Los Chankas - Sport Huancayo	6:0 ✺
12.04.24	Sport Huancayo - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Sporting Cristal - Sport Huancayo	4:0 ✺
31.03.24	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Huancayo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
20.04.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	FBC Melgar - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Lima	0:4 ✺
30.03.24	Atlético Grau - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:0 ✺
14.03.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.08.23	Sport Huancayo - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:1
02.04.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Huancayo	0:0
26.07.22	Sport Huancayo - Carlos A. Mannucci	4:0
26.02.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Huancayo	0:1
03.08.21	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Huancayo	1:1
21.11.20	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Huancayo	2:1
19.10.20	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Huancayo	0:1

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