Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Segura R. (Per)


	Carlos A. Mannucci		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3	Watch
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.35	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3.25
	2.39	2.95	3.25
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.25	3.17	3.13	Watch
	2.28	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.47)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	3.1 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos A. Mannucci
40.6%

Draw
29.6%

Cajamarca
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Heredia M. (G) 4. Saba E. 19. Rizzo G. 24. Miguez P. 13. Llontop M. 21. Vidales J. 88. Quina N. 6. Viera G. 10. Albarracin N. 9. Succar M. (C) 33. Hurtado C.	1. Zubczuk P. (C) 25. Requena P. 2. Mondino D. 4. Aparicio K. 27. Otazu M. 16. Perez J. 5. Valoyes J. 17. Fernandez C. 10. Sanchez J. 14. Ruiz K. 11. Quintero J.
Substitutes
16. Benitez A. 14. Cortave M. 11. Cortes J. 2. Cossio A. 26. Franco E. (G) 5. Gaona M. 8. Herrera Joel 17. Liza P. 7. Succar A.	29. Aliaga L. 13. Cano L. 30. Cantoro T. 28. Guevara R. 21. Infante M. 3. Medina J. (G) 9. Perlaza V. 18. Sanchez J. P. 24. Tapia D.
Coaches
Paredes S.	Ramacciotti C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Otazu M. ↓, Sanchez J. P. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Albarracin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez C. 🟨,
72', Vidales J. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
74', Albarracin N. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
75', Fernandez C. ↓, Perlaza V. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Succar M. ⚽,
83', Ruiz K. ↓, Cantoro T. ↑,
84', Llontop M. 🟨,
90+6', Hurtado C. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
90+6', Succar M. ↓, Liza P. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 1.

Recent matches Mannucci is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cajamarca is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mannucci will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Mannucci won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
13.04.24	FBC Melgar - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Lima	0:4 ✺
30.03.24	Atlético Grau - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:0 ✺
14.03.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
15.04.24	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Cienciano - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
08.03.24	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
11.08.23	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0
17.05.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	0:1
23.10.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	0:2
24.06.22	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:2
12.09.21	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	1:3
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
24.06.21	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:1 penalties
Peruvian Liga 1
22.03.21	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2

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