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Current Win Probability
Comerciantes Unidos 45.8%
Draw 27.6%
Sport Huancayo 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
28.6%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
28.6%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Huancayo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Cossio A. 4. Arias A. 20. Parodi J. 32. Jhon Sanchez 50. Olivares J. 25. Vilca R. 9. Sen M. (C)
12. Zamudio A. (G) 16. Falconi J. 26. Gaona M. 70. Valoyes J. 2. Angeles H. 23. Magallanes P. 8. Carabano D. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 7. Campodonico R. 10. Lujan N. 19. Huaccha R.
Substitutes
8. Ayovi W. 99. Charun J. (G) 66. Fuentes P. 30. Guzman P. 11. Herrera J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 18. Rodriguez A. 14. Salinas T.
24. Andia R. 4. Barreda J. 29. Ccorahua A. (G) 17. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 9. Martinez J. 97. Porozo D. 91. Quinonez A. 28. Rostaing J. 38. Villar E.
Coaches
Hernandez J.
Pellejero R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Vilca R. 🟥,
35', Hernandez J. 🟥,
39', Campodonico R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Campodonico R. ↓, Porozo D. ↑,
48', Magallanes P. 🟨,
48', Pellejero R. 🟨,
65', Arias A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
65', Olivares J. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
65', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
65', Huaccha R. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
67', Salcedo R. 🟨,
74', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
77', Alcedo F. 🟥,
80', 0 - 1, Magallanes P. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Salcedo R. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
82', Magallanes P. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
85', Martinez J. 🟨,
88', Lujan N. ↓, Barreda J. ↑,
89', Parodi J. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
90', Quinonez A. 🟨,
90+3', Herrera J. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Huancayo: Angeles H.
(Yellow Cards)
Murillo Y.
(Red Card)
Sanguinetti J.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Huancayo: Caballero F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sport Huancayo
11
7
1
3
17:13
4
22
14
Comerciantes Unidos
11
2
4
5
18:19
-1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Sport Huancayo - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.97%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.