Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 3

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Huancayo (Huancayo)


	Sport Huancayo		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.25	3.30
	2.38	3.00	2.80
	2.35	3.25	2.64
	2.54	2.41	3.65	Watch
	2.30	2.90	2.60
	2.62	2.54	2.97	Watch
	2.34	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.5)	2.77 ↓ (4)	2.96 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Huancayo
36.8%

Draw
32.6%

ADT Tarma
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.9%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

24.1%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Huancayo's form might have worsened.

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADT Tarma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+27.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADT Tarma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Huancayo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). ADT will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Villar E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Huancayo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Huancayo is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
21.06.26	Unión Minas - Sport Huancayo	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Sport Huancayo - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLTL
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
19.06.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Unión Minas - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	ADT Tarma - Cusco	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
14.03.26	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	0:1
09.08.25	ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo	1:0
08.03.25	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	2:1
25.08.24	ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo	2:1
31.03.24	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	0:2
17.09.23	ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo	2:1
22.04.23	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	1:3

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