Match Info

BRAZIL: PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 7

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)


	Sport Recife		Central SC

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	4.8
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.5	4	5.68
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.47	4.05	5.89
	1.51	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	3.98 ↓ (4)	5.46 ↓ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
60.6%

Draw
22.8%

Central SC
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Central SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 20. Arthur Caike 7. Fabinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 39. Italo 2. Lucas Ramon 53. Paulinho 17. Pedro Vilhena 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 13. Renzo 28. Rosales R.	12. Chapa (G) 3. Doni 2. Edy 7. Erivelton 99. Junior Pirambu 4. Lucao 55. Moacir 10. Murilo Rangel 22. Rafael Peixoto 33. Yuri Mamute 9. Ze Artur
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 47. Fabio Matheus 94. Felipe 6. Felipinho 55. Lucas Andre 40. Luciano Castan 27. Pablo Dyego 11. Romarinho 10. Ruiz A. 21. Thiago Couto (G) 52. Victor Gabriel 99. Ze Roberto	15. Guida 6. Hugo 8. Jardel 1. Jefferson (G) 20. Joao Cardoso 19. Joelson 11. Leandro Costa 18. Luciano Grafite . Matheus 14. Mossoro P. 13. Pedro Gustavo 16. Pedro Kaue 5. Torres R. 17. Vini Bala

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 4.

Sport Recife is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Central PE is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Central PE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sport Recife is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sport Recife to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sport Recife won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.24	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.02.24	Flamengo Arcoverde - Sport Recife	0:3 ✺
29.01.24	Sport Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Maguary - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW
- Central SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.02.24	Central SC - Maguary	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Retrô Brasil - Central SC	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Central SC - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Flamengo Arcoverde - Central SC	2:3 ✺
18.01.24	CA Porto - Central SC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.04.23	Central SC - Sport Recife	0:1
28.03.21	Sport Recife - Central SC	2:0
28.01.20	Sport Recife - Central SC	1:0
17.03.19	Central SC - Sport Recife	1:2
21.03.18	Central SC - Sport Recife	1:0
03.02.18	Central SC - Sport Recife	1:1
09.04.17	Central SC - Sport Recife	1:3

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