Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 3

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luiz Jose de Lacerda (Caruaru)


	Central SC		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.25	2.8	2.04
	3.48	3.07	2.11	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.45	3.04	2.08
	3.25	2.8	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.97 ↑ (2.81)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central SC
26.7%

Draw
30%

Náutico Capibaribe
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

31.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Central SC - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Milton Raphael (G) 19. Charles 5. Diego Aragao 8. Elivelton 10. Eudair 9. Everton Lino 7. Flavio 4. Janelson 3. Lazarini 6. Leozinho 2. Vivico	1. Wellerson R. (G) 2. Arnaldo 18. Auremir 80. Bruno Mezenga (C) 16. Felipe Santana 10. Geovane 23. Igor Fernandes 27. Kauan Maranhao 12. Leo Coltro 8. Marco Antonio 34. Otusanya O.
Substitutes
15. Berg 21. Caua 23. Cesar Tanaka (G) 16. Hitalo J. 12. Juca (G) 11. Leandro Costa 13. Luis Guilherme 22. Matheus 18. Oliveira Ribeiro E. G. 20. Vini Bala 14. William 17. Wisney	35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 21. Felipe Redaelli 36. Halan 7. Helio Borges 5. Igor Pereira 15. Kayon 32. Leo 6. Luiz Paulo 17. Marcos Ytalo 14. Odivan 20. Patrick Allan 3. Rayan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Janelson 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Eudair (Pen),
20', Marco Antonio 🟨,
21', Geovane 🟨,
35', Elivelton 🟨,
44', Milton Raphael 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diego Aragao ↓, Wisney ↑,
46', Kauan Maranhao ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
46', Arnaldo ↓, Marcos Ytalo ↑,
60', Vivico ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
60', Geovane ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
66', Eudair ↓, Hitalo J. ↑,
68', Otusanya O. ↓, de Sousa Oliveira T. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Elivelton ⚽,
73', Flavio 🟨,
85', Everton Lino 🟨,
85', Everton Lino ↓, Leandro Costa ↑,
85', Elivelton ↓, William ↑,
87', Igor Fernandes ↓, Luiz Paulo ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Patrick Allan ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central PE won 2.

Náutico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Central PE won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:27 (average 0.9:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Central PE won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.01.25	Maguary - Central SC	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Central SC - Jaguar	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Petrolina - Central SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
15.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Jaguar	3:2 ✺
11.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Petrolina	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Campinense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.24	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
24.01.24	Central SC - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2
07.01.23	Central SC - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
27.02.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Central SC	5:0
26.07.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Central SC	2:1
21.02.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Central SC	0:1
19.01.19	Central SC - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
08.04.18	Náutico Capibaribe - Central SC	2:1

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