Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nacional de Lima (Lima) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Argentina	23:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	23:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	22:00	Disney+
Colombia	21:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Georgia	06:00	Silk Universal
Indonesia	09:00	Mola TV
Israel	05:00	Sport 1
Italy	04:00	Como TV
Mexico	20:00	Disney+
Peru	21:00	Disney+, ESPN
Russia	05:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN South
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Usa	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+, Inter


	Sporting Cristal		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.25
	1.95	3.7	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.65	3.33
	1.98	3.83	3.53	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.7	3.26	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.07)	3.67 ↑ (3.65)	3.38 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
46.3%

Draw
25.7%

Bolívar
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.8%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	26.7%	53.3%

Sporting Cristal - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Bolívar will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bolívar (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bolívar (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bolívar (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 21. Romero F. 4. Chavez G. (C) 5. Lutiger R. 10. Gonzales C. 6. Pretell J. 25. Tavara M. 24. Pacheco F. 9. Cauteruccio M. 23. Castro M.	12. Cordano R. (G) 22. Rocha Y. 2. Sagredo J. 3. Torren M. 4. Sagredo J. 21. Velasquez J. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 80. Melgar C. A. 11. Vaca R. 17. Pato Rodriguez 77. Romero D.
Substitutes
30. Alarcon J. 3. Alcedo F. 11. Avila I. 77. Cabellos C. 39. Caparo H. 14. Diaz L. 13. Duarte A. (G) 37. Lora F. 15. Lora J. 28. Pasquini N. 22. Sosa M. 26. Wisdom I.	90. Fabio Gomes 1. Lampe C. (G) 33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 7. Mena F. 28. Mendez B. 8. Paz L. 5. Quinteros J. 32. Ramirez R. 35. Rivero E. 14. Robson Matheus 6. Vaca Moreno E. 29. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Autuori P.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Gonzales C. (A),
37', Pretell J. 🟨,
45+1', Velasquez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Castro M. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Pacheco F. (A),
52', Gonzales C. 🟨,
52', Torren M. 🟨,
59', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
59', Rocha Y. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
62', Sagredo J. 🟨,
69', Sosa L. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Vaca R. ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
76', Pacheco F. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
76', Pretell J. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
89', Chavez G. 🟨,
90+4', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting Cristal could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Pretell J. (Inactive) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bolívar: Lampe C. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Cauteruccio M. (Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bolívar: Bruno Savio (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
28.04.25	Sporting Cristal - Juan Pablo II College	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.04.25	Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
19.04.25	Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	Bolívar - Sporting Cristal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.05.25	ABB - Bolívar	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.04.25	Bolívar - Blooming	5:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.04.25	Bolívar - Palmeiras	2:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.04.25	Guabirá - Bolívar	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	Bolívar - Sporting Cristal	3:0

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