Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alianza Atlético		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.40	2.15	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.05
	3.20	3.35	2.20	Watch
	3.31	3.42	2.20
	3.26	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.14
	3.14	3.44	2.18	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.32)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	2.16 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
29.3%

Draw
27.8%

Sporting Cristal
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Cristal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 10. Diaz G. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 27. Ingratti J. 29. Molina J. 17. Penilla C.	1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 25. Tavara M. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 26. Wisdom I. 77. Cuesta J. 22. Hoyos M.
Substitutes
37. Delgado J. 16. Fernandez S. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 19. Mendieta J. 23. Munoz A. 20. Perez J. 95. Prieto D. (G) 77. Valladolid C.	11. Avila I. 29. Barcos H. 33. Bautista C. (G) 21. Cabellos C. 23. Castro M. 32. Diaz L. 18. Gonzalez J. 16. Iberico L. 4. Villacorta A.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.	Mosquera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Hoyos M. 🟨,
41', Suarez R. 🟨,
44', Sosa L. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Ingratti J. ⚽, Larios Saavedra G. A. (A),
45+2', Tavara M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez S. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
46', Wisdom I. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
50', Gordillo A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Alianza Atlético: del Castillo J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Knee Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 11:44. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Atlético - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Sporting Cristal - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
15.08.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLWL
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
16.08.26	Sporting Cristal - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
07.08.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Sporting Cristal - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
25.07.26	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
07.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	3:1
17.09.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	0:0
19.04.25	Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal	1:0
19.10.24	Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal	1:0
05.05.24	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	2:1
29.10.23	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	3:0
11.06.23	Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal	0:0

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