Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sporting Cristal		Cusco

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.7	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.83	4.56
	1.71	3.92	4.45	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.5
	1.69	3.72	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)	3.72 ↑ (3.67)	4.49 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
54.4%

Draw
25%

Cusco
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

24.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sporting Cristal - Cusco Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 18. Gonzalez J. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 41. Cuenca J. 96. Abram L. (C) 26. Wisdom I. 55. Cazonatti G. 27. Gabriel 14. Benavente C. 37. Lora F. 9. Vizeu F.	13. Vidal A. (G) 32. Astudillo J. 37. Choi G. 2. Gamarra C. 15. Bolivar J. 27. Carabajal G. 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. (C) 22. Colitto L. 11. Tevez J. 77. Herrera Joel
Substitutes
33. Bautista C. (G) 21. Cabellos C. 23. Castro M. 90. Cristiano 32. Diaz L. 7. Gonzalez S. 97. Rodriguez M. 8. Sosa L. 25. Tavara M.	6. Ampuero A. 5. Aucca M. 9. Callejo F. 28. Diaz P. (G) 8. Fuentes A. 7. Manzaneda J. 26. Silva N. 88. Soto D. 21. Zevallos J.
Coaches
Bulos I.	Orfila A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Cazonatti G. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Herrera Joel ⚽, Colman I. (A),
22', 1 - 2, Colitto L. ⚽,
36', Vizeu F. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Vizeu F. ⚽, Gabriel (A),
40', Herrera Joel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Astudillo J. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
57', Cuenca J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
57', Lora F. ↓, Cristiano ↑,
58', Benavente C. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
69', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
70', Herrera Joel ↓, Manzaneda J. ↑,
73', Gabriel ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
77', Colman I. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
80', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
80', Carabajal G. ↓, Callejo F. ↑,
83', Wisdom I. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
90+6', Zevallos J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting Cristal is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:9. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Cristal - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.26%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
25.04.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL
- Cusco FC
Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Cusco - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Alianza Lima - Cusco	8:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Cusco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
14.12.25	Cusco - Sporting Cristal	2:0
10.12.25	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	1:0
14.09.25	Cusco - Sporting Cristal	3:2
13.04.25	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	1:0
22.09.24	Cusco - Sporting Cristal	1:1
21.04.24	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	2:0
29.09.23	Cusco - Sporting Cristal	4:1

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