The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Deportes 75.4%
Draw 16%
Los Chankas 8.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.2%
20.5%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.9%
19.7%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Deportes's performance.
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Deportes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Universitario de Deportes - Los Chankas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Romero D. (G) 2. Fara C. 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 24. Polo A. (C) 28. Quiroz A. 15. Requena J. 17. Concha J. 33. Inga C. 18. Lapadula G. 20. Valera A.
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 33. Pimienta C. 2. Gonzalez H. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 5. Palomino J. 15. Sanchez K. 13. Vasquez A. 10. Torres F. 11. Quintero J.
Substitutes
30. Alzugaray L. 10. Calcaterra H. 29. Corzo A. 8. Fertoli H. 19. Flores E. 70. Gutierrez J. 23. Murrugarra J. 39. Quispe Cordova P. A. 25. Vargas M. (G)
6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 16. Chavez A. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 7. Ospina J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 24. Rizzo G.
Coaches
Cuper H.
Paolella W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Quintana A. 🟨,
6', Requena J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Lapadula G. ⚽, Fara C. (A),
43', Fara C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Torres F. 🟥,
55', Di Benedetto M. 🟨,
67', Vasquez A. 🟨,
69', Quintana A. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Valera A. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Requena J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
73', Concha J. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Lapadula G. ⚽,
79', Vasquez A. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
81', Lapadula G. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
81', Quiroz A. ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
88', Valera A. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14).
Uni de Deportes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Los Chankas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni de Deportes is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).