Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Estrela da Amadora		Belenenses B

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	7.25
	1.33	4.25	6.25
	1.27	4.9	8.4
	1.36	4.91	8.25
	1.35	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	4.66 ↑ (4.35)	7.63 ↑ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
68.5%

Draw
19.5%

Belenenses B
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

11.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Belenenses B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-30.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrela da Amadora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses B than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belenenses B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Estrela is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.21	Oriental Dragon - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Praiense - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
06.02.21	Oriental - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
29.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Real SC	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW
- Belenenses B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.02.21	Belenenses B - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Belenenses B - Rabo de Peixe	1:3 ✺
16.02.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Belenenses B	1:1 ✺
24.01.21	Fontinhas - Belenenses B	1:3 ✺
17.01.21	Belenenses B - Oriental Dragon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.11.20	Belenenses B - Estrela da Amadora	0:1

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