Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday


	Oriental Dragon		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	4.4	2.95	1.87
	4.4	2.65	1.9
	3.85	2.75	2.05
	4.17	2.9	2.17
	4	2.99	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.29)	2.85 ↓ (2.95)	2 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental Dragon
22%

Draw
32.1%

Estrela da Amadora
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

31%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

20.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental Dragon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental Dragon's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental Dragon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estrela da Amadora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oriental Dragon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental Dragon FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.21	Rabo de Peixe - Oriental Dragon	0:4 ✺
07.02.21	Oriental Dragon - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Belenenses B - Oriental Dragon	0:2 ✺
10.01.21	Oriental Dragon - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
03.01.21	Praiense - Oriental Dragon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLL
- Estrela da Amadora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.02.21	Praiense - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
06.02.21	Oriental - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
29.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Real SC	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.11.20	Estrela da Amadora - Oriental Dragon	2:0

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