Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday


	Estrela da Amadora		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.46	2.75	2.95
	2.58	2.88	3.23
	2.47	3.01	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.56)	2.89 ↓ (3.01)	2.97 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
37%

Draw
32%

Sporting Lisbon B
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

20.8%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrela da Amadora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Estrela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting Lisbon B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting Lisbon B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Estrela have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.03.21	Montijo - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ✺
28.02.21	Estrela da Amadora - Belenenses B	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	Oriental Dragon - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Praiense - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
06.02.21	Oriental - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW
- Sporting Lisbon B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.03.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Rabo de Peixe	4:0 ✺
03.03.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Montijo	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
24.02.21	Belenenses B - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Fontinhas - Sporting Lisbon B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.12.20	Sporting Lisbon B - Estrela da Amadora	0:0

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