Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Praiense		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.87
	3.15	3.05	2.1
	3.8	3.25	1.85
	4.1	3.47	1.93
	3.78	3.25	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.58)	3.24 ↑ (3.07)	1.94 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Praiense
24.5%

Draw
28.2%

Estrela da Amadora
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

20.8%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Praiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Praiense's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praiense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Preview

Recent matches Praiense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estrela is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Praiense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Estrela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Praiense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Praiense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.21	Praiense - Rabo de Peixe	2:1 ✺
30.01.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Praiense	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	Praiense - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
14.01.21	Montijo - Praiense	4:0 ✺
11.01.21	Belenenses B - Praiense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTLT
- Estrela da Amadora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.02.21	Oriental - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
29.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Real SC	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:4 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.01.21	Rabo de Peixe - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.12.20	Estrela da Amadora - Praiense	2:1

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