Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hodges Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	CBS Sports Network, SportsEngine Play


	Sporting Jacksonville		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.60	3.25	1.87
	3.90	3.45	1.78
	3.99	3.51	1.99
	4.08	3.72	1.8	Watch
	4.10	3.65	1.81
	3.67	3.57	1.94	Watch
	3.85	3.40	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.71)	3.51 ↓ (3.67)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Jacksonville
23.8%

Draw
26.4%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

24.8%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Sporting Jacksonville - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Users Predictions: Pittsburgh Riverhounds will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGuire J. (G) 18. Ackwei W. 15. Edwards R. (C) 27. Wilson D. 3. Rose T. 44. Somersall R. 6. Rossiter J. 8. Kuzain W. 12. Rito E. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 10. Sadlier K.	1. Campuzano N. (G) 3. Barnes P. 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 4. Kelp L. 37. Goldthorp E. 14. Mertz R. 2. Griffin D. (C) 10. Ahl C. 7. Amann T. 13. Viera M.
Substitutes
11. Al Qaq A. 42. Casas E. (G) 7. Evans J. 22. Gomez A. 26. Granitur L. 2. Neville H. 19. Pedder R.	19. Bassett S. 20. Budler M. (G) 18. Garcia J. 28. Osumanu I. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 23. Vacter G. 42. Walti J.
Coaches
Fox L.	Vincent R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Amann T. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rose T. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Sadlier K. ⚽,
65', Wilson D. 🟨,
65', Sadlier K. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
68', Viera M. ↓, Bassett S. ↑,
72', Somersall R. ↓, Neville H. ↑,
72', Kuzain W. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Souza V. (Own goal),
79', Ahl C. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
79', Griffin D. ↓, Walti J. ↑,
84', Souza V. ↓, Osumanu I. ↑,
85', Barnes P. ↓, Vacter G. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Sporting Jax is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pittsburgh has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pittsburgh is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Jax won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
03.07.26	Loudoun United - Sporting Jacksonville	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Charleston Battery	2:5 ✺
13.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Detroit City	2:6 ✺
10.06.26	Monterey Bay - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Cup
11.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Brooklyn	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Charleston Battery - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
28.03.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Sporting Jacksonville	3:2

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