Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Hodges Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Referee: Escobar J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting Jacksonville		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	4.00	1.53
	4.50	3.85	1.58
	5.27	4.50	1.56
	5.1	4.36	1.55	Watch
	5.35	4.40	1.52
	5.18	4.04	1.59	Watch
	4.90	4.10	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.79)	4.18 ↓ (4.19)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Jacksonville
18.4%

Draw
22.1%

Rhode Island
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

21.9%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Sporting Jacksonville - Rhode Island Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Sporting Jax (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Jax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGuire J. (C) 18. Ackwei W. 15. Edwards R. 21. Godinho M. 12. Rito E. 14. Jean Mota 6. Rossiter J. 19. Pedder R. 8. Kuzain W. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 10. Sadlier K.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K. 15. Nodarse F. 18. Foyo O. 5. Stoneman G. (C) 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 17. Kwizera J. 8. Leo Afonso 14. Tsukada Y. 37. Korzeniowski S.
Substitutes
11. Al Qaq A. 42. Casas E. (G) 22. Gomez A. 9. Luckhurst A. 2. Neville H. 24. Roberts T. 28. Underwood E. 27. Wilson D.	7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 11. Fuson N. 21. Herivaux Z. 16. Klein E. 2. Rovira D. 3. Sanchez A.
Coaches
Fox L.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Nodarse F. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Tsukada Y. ⚽, Leo Afonso (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Pedder R. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
57', Foyo O. ↓, Fuson N. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Korzeniowski S. ⚽, Fuson N. (A),
64', Tsukada Y. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
64', Shapiro-Thompson A. 🟨,
67', Kuzain W. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
75', Godinho M. ↓, Neville H. ↑,
75', Sadlier K. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
79', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Herivaux Z. ↑,
79', Leo Afonso ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
79', Stoneman G. ↓, Klein E. ↑,
80', Fuson N. 🟨,
88', Korzeniowski S. 🟨,
88', Jean Mota 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Kwizera J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Rhode Island is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Jax won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
05.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Lexington	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brooklyn - Sporting Jacksonville	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Birmingham Legion - Sporting Jacksonville	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Sporting Jacksonville	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWLL
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
05.09.26	Rhode Island - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tulsa - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Rhode Island - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rhode Island - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
14.03.26	Rhode Island - Sporting Jacksonville	1:1

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