Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Referee: Kulasinac D. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Birmingham Legion		Sporting Jacksonville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.00	4.40
	1.58	3.95	4.25
	1.62	4.52	4.75
	1.59	4.44	4.61	Watch
	1.63	4.35	4.45
	1.66	4.14	4.48	Watch
	1.59	4.10	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	4.21 ↑ (3.96)	4.48 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
57.5%

Draw
21.9%

Sporting Jacksonville
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Sporting Jacksonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (-3%)

Birmingham Legion - Sporting Jacksonville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. McMullen T. (G) 26. Daley A. 27. Washington B. 20. Paterson AJ 11. McCartney D. (C) 18. Antwi S. 10. Shashoua S. 21. Tregarthen S. 81. Ngoma S. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.	1. McGuire J. (G) 13. Alvarado V. 15. Edwards R. (C) 21. Godinho M. 11. Al Qaq A. 6. Rossiter J. 2. Neville H. 12. Rito E. 14. Jean Mota 16. Jaaskelainen E. 10. Sadlier K.
Substitutes
31. Bailey R. (G) 8. Cole K. 30. Hernandez J. 3. Kavita P. 6. McIllhatton S. 15. Pasher T. 16. Vassell P. 17. Williams R.	7. Evans J. 22. Gomez A. 8. Kuzain W. 9. Luckhurst A. 31. Olivares C. (G) 19. Pedder R. 27. Wilson D.
Coaches
Heaps J.	Fox L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Paterson AJ ↓, Kavita P. ↑,
54', Godinho M. ↓, Kuzain W. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Damus R. ⚽, Shashoua S. (A),
58', 1 - 1, Jaaskelainen E. ⚽, Jean Mota (A),
64', Kuzain W. 🟨,
68', Daley A. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
68', Ngoma S. ↓, Pasher T. ↑,
74', Sadlier K. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Kuzain W. ⚽,
80', Damus R. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
80', Diarbian G. ↓, Vassell P. ↑,
83', Alvarado V. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
83', Jean Mota ↓, Wilson D. ↑,
85', Antwi S. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Williams R. ⚽, Shashoua S. (A),
90+11', 2 - 3, Wilson D. ⚽, Al Qaq A. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 13).

Birmingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sporting Jax is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
15.08.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Louisville City - Birmingham Legion	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Birmingham Legion - Tulsa	3:1 ✺
USL Championship
05.07.26	Miami - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWT
- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
15.08.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Sporting Jacksonville	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	El Paso Locomotive - Sporting Jacksonville	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Brooklyn	2:2 ✺
15.07.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLTW

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