Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Hodges Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Referee: Surgan J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sporting Jacksonville		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.00
	3.1	3.45	2.02
	3.03	3.83	2.22
	3.4	3.86	1.94	Watch
	3.45	3.8	1.96
	2.93	3.66	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.19)	3.64 ↓ (3.65)	2.05 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting Jacksonville
29.5%

Draw
25.4%

Indy Eleven
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

25.1%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

24.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Jacksonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Sporting Jacksonville - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGuire J. (G) 13. Alvarado V. 15. Edwards R. 27. Wilson D. 12. Rito E. 44. Somersall R. 6. Rossiter J. 21. Godinho M. 8. Kuzain W. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 14. Jean Mota	1. Dick E. (G) 36. Kibunguchy N. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 29. Mitrano A. 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 14. Quinn A. (C) 27. Rendon B. 19. Kizza E. 8. Blake J.
Substitutes
11. Al Qaq A. 22. Gomez A. 9. Luckhurst A. 2. Neville H. 31. Olivares C. (G) 19. Pedder R. 10. Sadlier K. 28. Underwood E.	39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 90. Mesanvi L. 18. Okello N. 22. Omar M. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D.
Coaches
Fox L.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Wilson D. 🟨,
29', Somersall R. ↓, Neville H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Kibunguchy N. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
65', Wilson D. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
65', Kuzain W. ↓, Sadlier K. ↑,
72', Jean Mota 🟨,
73', Craig P. 🟨,
76', Alvarado V. 🟨,
77', Kizza E. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
77', Mitrano A. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
84', Jean Mota ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
88', Rendon B. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Gomez A. (Own goal),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Sporting Jax has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Indy is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Indy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Jax won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Championship
01.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Sporting Jacksonville	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	El Paso Locomotive - Sporting Jacksonville	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Brooklyn	2:2 ✺
15.07.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Loudoun United - Sporting Jacksonville	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTWT
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
09.08.26	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	San Antonio - Indy Eleven	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Miami - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.05.26	Indy Eleven - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1

Upcoming Matches