Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City)

Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)


	Sporting Kansas City		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.79
	1.83	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.97	3.6	3.68	Watch
	2	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.58)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Kansas City
47.5%

Draw
26.8%

Nashville SC
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Kansas City's form might have worsened.

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Kansas City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Sporting Kansas City - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nashville will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Melia T. (G) 17. Davis J. 5. Rosero D. 3. Fontas A. 18. Ndenbe L. 54. Walter R. 6. Radoja N. 26. Thommy E. 7. Russell J. (C) 9. Pulido A. 20. Salloi D.	1. Willis J. (G) 18. Moore S. 25. Zimmerman W. (C) 5. Maher J. 2. Lovitz D. 20. Godoy A. 6. McCarty D. 54. Davis S. 19. Muyl A. 10. Mukhtar H. 7. Picault F.
Substitutes
23. Agada W. 15. Espinoza R. 13. Gutierrez F. 21. Hernandez F. 10. Kinda G. 1. Pulskamp J. (G) 11. Shelton K. 77. Tzionis M. 4. Voloder R.	27. Anunga T. 22. Bauer J. 26. Haakenson L. 8. Leal R. 30. Panicco E. (G) 14. Shaffelburg J. 9. Surridge S. 23. Washinghton T. 11. Zubak E.
Coaches
Vermes P.	Smith G.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kansas City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kansas City will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Kansas City: Ford K. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pierre K. (Injury)

There will not play in Nashville: DePuy N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Kansas City: Zusi G. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Kansas City
MLS
16.09.23	Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Inter Miami - Sporting Kansas City	3:2 ✺
02.09.23	Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Sporting Kansas City - San Jose Earthquakes	3:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
04.08.23	Toluca - Sporting Kansas City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWL
- Nashville SC
MLS
02.09.23	Nashville SC - Charlotte	1:1 ✺
30.08.23	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Atlanta United - Nashville SC	4:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
19.08.23	Nashville SC - Inter Miami	1:2 penalties ✺
15.08.23	Monterrey - Nashville SC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
19.06.22	Nashville SC - Sporting Kansas City	1:2
09.04.22	Sporting Kansas City - Nashville SC	1:2
11.10.20	Sporting Kansas City - Nashville SC	2:1

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