The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City 23.6%
Draw 22%
San Jose Earthquakes 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
25.1%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
23.9%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Jose Earthquakes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Jose Earthquakes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Sporting Kansas City - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pulskamp J. (G) 13. Reynolds J. 2. James I. 57. Diego Borges 99. Reid J. 4. Johnsen L. 6. Garcia M. 16. Bartlett J. 93. Suleymanov S. 9. Joveljic D. 11. Harris C.
42. Daniel (G) 28. Kikanovic B. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 4. Romney D. 34. Leroux B. 14. Vieira R. (C) 16. Skahan J. 10. Tsakiris N. 7. Bouda O. 19. Judd P.
Substitutes
17. Afrifa S. 20. Agyabeng K. 23. Bartlow E. 19. Calheira T. 7. Capita 8. Davis J. 12. Kortkamp J. (G) 15. Miller J. 14. Tschantret M.
32. Adimabua N. 21. Buck N. 36. Edwards E. (G) 20. Fernandez N. 25. Floriani M. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 6. Harkes I. 17. Jasinski J. 3. Marie P.
Coaches
Wicky R.
Arena B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Bartlett J. ⚽, Joveljic D. (A), Garcia M. (A2)
44', 1 - 1, Skahan J. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, Skahan J. ⚽, Judd P. (A), Tsakiris N. (A2)
54', Suleymanov S. 🟨,
57', Harris C. ↓, Capita ↑,
66', Garcia M. ↓, Davis J. ↑,
66', Suleymanov S. ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
69', Leroux B. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
69', Skahan J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Romney D. ⚽, Munie D. (A),
76', Kikanovic B. ↓, Jasinski J. ↑,
81', Bartlett J. ↓, Calheira T. ↑,
81', Reid J. ↓, Agyabeng K. ↑,
82', Calheira T. 🟨,
87', Judd P. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 3.
Kansas City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, San Jose is the team to beat.
There will not play in Kansas City: Cleveland S.
(Ankle Injury)
Meyer W.
(Knee Injury)
Reid J.
(Ankle Injury)
Schewe R.
(Hand Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Werner T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:29. (average 2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:12. (average 2:1.1).
Outrights of MLS for now
San Jose Earthquakes: 3.29% Sporting Kansas City: 0.53%
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Pulskamp J. (G) 
Diego Borges 
Johnsen L. 
Garcia M. 
Suleymanov S. 
Joveljic D. 
Harris C. 
Vieira R. (C) 
Bouda O. 
Afrifa S. 
Agyabeng K. 
Capita 
Adimabua N. 
Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 
Marie P. 
Wicky R. 
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